Was going to post this yesterday, when I saw the headlines about the murder of Jo Cox. Horrific. See headline. She seemed such a committed, altruistic person. Anyway. Reread this morning what I’d written, and on balance, it’s still where I come out, as it were, on the UK’S EU referendum.
Oh dear. Little Englanders, are you really going to vote out?
Let me start again. In my view, Brexit’s consequences for Britain? Perhaps not so drastic. Perhaps. Probably be a bit of a recession at first, followed by a recovery, slow or fast. Britain also has a broader commercial outlook over the seven seas than many countries landlocked in Continental Europe. Plus, I’m not so sure Scotland would then depart the UK as quickly as people are saying, with their biggest trading partner suddenly out of the EU. But look if you ask me, the Brits shouldn’t have been in such a rush to join the bloody Common Market in the first place, back in 1972. In those days the sun truly never set on their trade relationships worldwide.
But the UK doesn’t exist in a European vacuum of course, and Brexit wouldn’t be great for the European Union, possibly creating a domino effect and creating waves of financial chaos, or at least a bad case of the shakes, just when the European economy seems to be pulling out of a nose dive. Brexit could also help stoke the fire under the hard right in Central Europe, something I’m not keen on.
As a betting man however, my ha’penny is on a vote ‘out’ next week… Continue reading